Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 7.328192 8.574352 9.940844 11.546813 13.378673 15.399092 17.792096
2026-02-01 5.031680 6.649569 8.616006 11.164292 14.359487 18.211913 23.184548
2026-02-08 3.658866 5.342302 7.565740 10.678299 14.876980 20.292189 27.742859
2026-02-15 2.798870 4.454323 6.801606 10.307255 15.329663 22.170732 32.075509
2026-02-22 2.369538 4.059016 6.602619 10.611771 16.646293 25.237253 38.193290
2026-03-01 2.048791 3.752678 6.460521 10.938168 17.976776 28.389316 44.653293
2026-03-08 1.665048 3.263635 5.945681 10.596342 18.224136 29.935790 48.855815
2026-03-15 1.379115 2.883015 5.538389 10.350848 18.558693 31.595364 53.307248
2026-03-22 1.263706 2.789097 5.599845 10.883515 20.188215 35.379412 61.308570
2026-03-29 1.140961 2.656646 5.568633 11.240071 21.539792 38.802886 68.962707
2026-04-05 0.995781 2.450378 5.367217 11.256210 22.287535 41.268437 75.205448
2026-04-12 0.860627 2.238436 5.121424 11.152065 22.795794 43.346789 80.919762
2026-04-19 0.712722 1.978080 4.759959 10.821186 22.934638 44.939071 86.190833
2026-04-26 0.591062 1.753622 4.441430 10.543100 23.164219 46.753326 92.079682
2026-05-03 0.479053 1.524145 4.069750 10.096985 23.007316 47.839296 96.745703
2026-05-10 0.393172 1.339832 3.765731 9.746949 22.992519 49.170163 101.936533
2026-05-17 0.355168 1.280009 3.749139 10.037377 24.335522 53.203987 112.461290
2026-05-24 0.322669 1.228004 3.742578 10.348214 25.749766 57.480440 123.735422
2026-05-31 0.267821 1.090014 3.486601 10.022834 25.728496 58.874466 129.502454
2026-06-07 0.225276 0.979011 3.281081 9.789174 25.881158 60.623343 136.075831
2026-06-14 0.212807 0.969862 3.360994 10.296214 27.795250 66.184843 150.679386
2026-06-21 0.196134 0.940479 3.376656 10.635692 29.344457 71.078465 164.216580
2026-06-28 0.172540 0.876933 3.277460 10.651059 30.111978 74.338519 174.570420